FREEDOM RINGS IN AMERICA

FREEDOM RINGS IN AMERICA

Search This Blog

Loading...

Wednesday, March 31, 2010

American Capitalism Gone With A Whimper

REMEMBER IN NOVEMBER




--------------------------
------------------------------------------------------

From Pravda-----------a Russian Newspaper

The irony of this article appearing in the English edition of Pravda (Russian on-line newspaper) defies description. Why can a Russian newspaper print the following yet the American media either can't or won't see it?

Check the Snopes link at the end of the article for authenticity:

American Capitalism Gone With A Whimper

It must be said, that like the breaking of a great dam, the American descent into Marxism is happening with breath taking speed, against the back drop of a passive, hapless sheeple, excuse me dear reader, I meant people.

True, the situation has been well prepared on and off for the past century, especially the past twenty years. The initial testing grounds was conducted upon our Holy Russia and a bloody test it was. But we Russians would not just roll over and give up our freedoms and our souls, no matter how much money Wall Street poured into the fists of the Marxists.

Those lessons were taken and used to properly prepare the American populace for the surrender of their freedoms and souls, to the whims of their elites and betters.

First, the population was dumbed down through a politicized and substandard education system based on pop culture, rather than the classics. Americans know more about their favorite TV dramas than the drama in DC that directly affects their lives. They care more for their "right" to choke down a McDonalds burger or a Burger King burger than for their constitutional rights. Then they turn around and lecture us about our rights and about our "democracy". Pride blinds the foolish.

Then their faith in God was destroyed, until their churches, all tens of thousands of different "branches and denominations" were for the most part little more than Sunday circuses and their televangelists and top protestant mega preachers were more than happy to sell out their souls and flocks to be on the "winning" side of one pseudo Marxist politician or another. Their flocks may complain, but when explained that they would be on the "winning" side, their flocks were ever so quick to reject Christ in hopes for earthly power. Even our Holy Orthodox churches are scandalously liberalized in America.

The final collapse has come with the election of Barack Obama. His speed in the past three months has been truly impressive. His spending and money printing has been a record setter, not just in America's short history but in the world. If this keeps up for more than another year, and there is no sign that it will not, America at best will resemble the Weimar Republic and at worst Zimbabwe.

These past two weeks have been the most breath taking of all. First came the announcement of a planned redesign of the American Byzantine tax system, by the very thieves who used it to bankroll their thefts, losses, and swindles of hundreds of billions of dollars. These make our Russian oligarchs look little more than ordinary street thugs, in comparison. Yes, the Americans have beat our own thieves in the shear volumes. Should we congratulate them?

These men, of course, are not an elected panel but made up of appointees picked from the very financial oligarchs and their henchmen who are now gorging themselves on trillions of American dollars, in one bailout after another. They are also usurping the rights, duties, and powers of the American congress (parliament). Again, congress has put up little more than a whimper to their masters.

Then came Barack Obama's command that GM's (General Motors) president step down from leadership of his company. That is correct, dear reader, in the land of "pure" free markets, the American president now has the power, the self-given power, to fire CEOs and we can assume other employees of private companies, at will. Come hither, go dither, the centurion commands his minions.

So it should be no surprise, that the American president has followed this up with a "bold" move of declaring that he and another group of unelected, chosen stooges will now redesign the entire automotive industry and will even be the guarantee of automobile policies.. I am sure that if given the chance, they would happily try and redesign it for the whole of the world, too. Prime Minister Putin, less than two months ago, warned Obama and UK's Blair, not to follow the path to Marxism, it only leads to disaster. Apparently, even though we suffered 70 years of this Western sponsored horror show, we know nothing, as foolish, drunken Russians, so let our "wise" Anglo-Saxon fools find out the folly of their own pride.

Again, the American public has taken this with barely a whimper... but a "free man" whimper.

So, should it be any surprise to discover that the Democratically controlled Congress of America is working on passing a new regulation that would give the American Treasury department the power to set "fair" maximum salaries, evaluate performance, and control how private companies give out pay raises and bonuses? Senator Barney Frank, a social pervert basking in his homosexuality (of course, amongst the modern, enlightened American societal norm, as well as that of the general West, homosexuality is not only not a looked down upon life choice, but is often praised as a virtue) and his Marxist enlightenment has led this effort. He stresses that this only affects companies that receive government monies, but it is retroactive and taken to a logical extreme, this would include any company or industry that has ever received a tax break or incentive.

The Russian owners of American companies and industries should look thoughtfully at this and the option of closing their facilities down and fleeing the land of the Red as fast as possible. In other words, divest while there is still value left.


The proud American will go down into his slavery without a fight, beating his chest, and proclaiming to the world, how free he really is. The world will only snicker.

Snopes link -

http://www.snopes.com/politics/soapbox/pravda.asp

Tuesday, March 30, 2010

Things to Consider Before Supporting Any Candidate for Public Office

candidate compare?

When you are considering supporting any candidate for office, consider the following four criteria:

1. Do they know and understand the Constitution? If they don’t know and understand it, how can they possibly defend it? As a threshold matter, do they know the text? Have they even read it? If they don’t even know what it says, how can they follow it? If the can’t be bothered to read it, just how sincere a Constitutional defender are they? And do they understand it? Do they have a firm grasp of the basic principles and concepts of our Constitutional Republic? Attend a town hall meeting and ask them some pointed questions to test their knowledge. A good list of questions to ask can be found at the back of the excellent book, the Five Thousand Year Leap, by W. Cleon Skousen. If they don’t know the text or the answers to those questions, then you should be very hesitant to support them for office. Certainly you can have good, sincere people of demonstrated courage who have recently woken up and had not heretofore studied the Constitution. But courage without understanding will just not cut it. At the least they should correct their ignorance, and you can help them do so, such as by giving them a copy of Skousen’s book to go along with their reading of the text of the Constitution itself, but frankly I have to wonder why they are even running for office if they have not yet bothered to read and study the Constitution.

2. Even if they know what the Constitution says and understand it, do they have the integrity and courage to follow the Constitution, come what may? Knowledge without courage and integrity is even more useless than is courage without understanding. There’s a thundering herd of politicians, most of them lawyers, who do know what it says but simply don’t give a damn. When trying to figure out whether a candidate has the courage and integrity to actually be faithful to the Constitution, look not to what they say now, on the campaign trail, but to what they have done. If they have already served in office, what was their voting record? If they have already voted for unconstitutional bills, then they have shown you all you need to know. Such a person is a demonstrated oath breaker. If, to be fair to them, there is a valid question of whether one of their votes was a violation of their oath, ask them to explain why they voted the way they did. Unless they can articulate a credible rationale for why the bill was constitutional, you should pass. And have they spoken out against the violations of the Constitution by their own party, or do they only point out the violations by “the other team”? And even if they have no political voting record to look at, have they, in the past, ever stood tall in any situation, with the courage of their convictions, even at personal risk? In other words, what have they DONE? When have they taken a stand? If you can’t find any examples of them taking a stand, I would be very suspicious of believing the campaign promises.

3. Do they have the personal integrity to keep specific campaign promises, such as promises to term limit themselves or to vote for or against particular bills? What about them or their past behavior makes you confident they will keep their promises? When have they been true to their word even to their own harm?

4. What is their motivation for running? Do they look forward to public office? Are they excited about the prospect? If so, run! Frankly, the best candidate is the sincere constitutionalist who does not want to run for office, who loathes the thought of all the headaches that go with the job, that you have to convince to run against their better judgment (because serving in public office is a royal pain in the rear to normal people. Only psycho sociopaths enjoy it). You want someone who is not interested in power and perks. All too often I have seen people who were sincere constitutionalists but who also were very keen on public office sell their souls and compromise their principles because they were star-struck with the prospects of fame and fortune and liked the idea of being called “Senator” or “Representative” so-and-so just a bit too much. Seek out the person who doesn’t care a whit about all the perks and power, who detests the idea of running for office, and convince that one to run. You will more likely have someone who will stand tall no matter what.

A candidate for office must know the Constitution, must have the courage to follow it, must have the integrity to keep promises, and must be in it not for personal gain, but to serve, protect, and defend. Look past the campaign rhetoric and see if you can find a track record of knowledge, courage, and actual devotion to country. If you can’t find such a clear track record, look elsewhere.

ABC NEWS BANS FLAG LAPEL PINS !!!


ABC NEWS BANS FLAG LAPEL PINS

WHAT IS NEXT ???

Barbara Walters said that this was going to hurt ABC bad. As you know she works for ABC.


This should make your blood boil...it DOES mine!


ABC NEWS BANS FLAG LAPEL PINS!
YESTERDAY THE BRASS AT ABC NEWS ISSUED ORDERS FORBIDDING REPORTERS TO WEAR LAPEL PIN AMERICAN FLAGS OR OTHER PATRIOTIC INSIGNIA.. THEIR REASONING WAS THAT ABC SHOULD REMAIN NEUTRAL ABOUT 'CAUSES'.
SINCE WHEN IS SUPPORT FOR PREVENTING DEATH AND DESTRUCTION SOME SORT OF A 'CAUSE'? SINCE WHEN IS PATRIOTISM TO BE DISCOURAGED?
I URGE YOU TO BOYCOTT ABC AND ITS SPONSORS AND AFFILIATES. WE ARE SLOWLY LOSING EVERYTHING OUR COUNTRY STANDS FOR AND EVERYTHING OUR MEN AND WOMEN FOUGHT AND DIED TO PRESERVE!
PLEASE FORWARD THIS TO AS MANY AS YOU CAN.




THIS HAS BEEN VERIFIED THROUGH:
http://www.snopes.com/rumors/noflags.asp

WA SUPREME COURT JUSTICE RICHARD SANDERS AUTHORS SIGNIFICANT GUN RIGHTS RULING


The Washington State Supreme Court has issued a precedent-setting opinion in
the case of State v. Christopher William Sieyes which holds that the Second
Amendment of the U.S. Constitution's Bill of Rights "applies to the states
via the Fourteenth Amendment"

This outstanding opinion was authored by Justice Richard B. Sanders, a Supreme
Court veteran who clearly understands the history of both the state and federal
constitutional right to keep and bear arms. Perhaps what makes the Sanders
opinion so remarkable is that it places the Washington Supreme Court ahead of
the United States Supreme Court in recognition that the U.S. Constitution's
recognition of the right to keep and bear arms applies to all citizens, and
should also place limits on state and local governments, as it does on
Congress.

Quoting Justice Sanders, "Lower courts need not wait for the Supreme Court
the Constitution is the rule of all courts both state and federal judiciaries
wield power to strike down unconstitutional government acts."

The Sanders opinion was issued February 18, 2010 and its significance quickly
registered with gun rights organizations and activists across the map. For
example, the National Shooting Sports Foundation hailed the ruling. NSSF Senior
Vice President and General Counsel Lawrence G. Keane called it "a welcome
development and victory for the rights of law-abiding firearms owners."

This state high court opinion, among other things, effectively "puts on
notice" anti-gun groups in the Evergreen
State that their
continued efforts to impair the rights of legally-armed citizens will face not
only growing legislative resistance, but intense legal scrutiny. Though not
binding on other states, it clears a path for other state supreme courts to
follow.

Despite its brevity at only 24 pages, Justice Sanders' opinion - which was
co-signed by five of his colleagues, including Chief Justice Barbara A. Madsen
- thoroughly and proactively debunks any suggestion that the authors of Article
1, Section 24 of the Washington State Constitution did not mean specifically
what they wrote: "The right of the individual citizen to bear arms in
defense of himself, or the state, shall not be impaired, but nothing in this
section shall be construed as authorizing individuals or corporations to
organize, maintain or employ an armed body of men."

Perhaps Justice Sanders put it best when he noted, "This right is
necessary to an Anglo-American regime of ordered liberty and fundamental to the
American scheme of justice."




The Second Amendment Foundation (www.saf.org)
is the nations oldest and largest tax-exempt education, research, publishing
and legal action group focusing on the Constitutional right and heritage to
privately own and possess firearms. Founded in 1974, The Foundation has grown
to more than 650,000 members and supporters and conducts many programs designed
to better inform the public about the consequences of gun control. SAF has
previously funded successful firearms-related suits against the cities of Los
Angeles; New Haven, CT; and San Francisco on behalf of American gun owners, a
lawsuit against the cities suing gun makers and an amicus brief and fund for the Emerson case holding the
Second Amendment as an individual right.

What a Den of Thieves.....

Here is some good information:

Pretty good summary of what is known - how much more is hidden?

$34,000:

The amount of federal taxes that Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner (D ) failed to pay during his employment at the International Monetary Fund despite receiving extra compensation and explanatory brochures that described his tax liabilities.

True: http://www.cleveland.com/nation/index.ssf/2009/01/timothy_geithner_...


$75,000:

The amount of money that the head of the powerful tax-writing committee, Rep. Charlie Rangel (D-NY),was forced to report on his taxes after the discovery that he had not reported income from a Dominican Republic rental
property. His excuses for the failure started with blaming his wife, then his accountant and finally the fact that he didn't speak Spanish.

True http://www.nypost.com/seven/09102008/news/regionalnews/rangels_span...


$93,000:

The INCREASE in the amount of petty cash each of our Congressional representatives voted to givethemselves in January 2009 during the height of an economic meltdown. That's a $40 + million INCREASE!

http://gatewaypundit.blogspot.com/2009/01/its-recession-congress-gi... See video here from Fox


$133,900:

The amount Fannie Mae "invested" in Chris Dodd (D-CT), head of the powerful Senate Banking Committee, presumably to repel oversight of the GSE prior to its meltdown. Said meltdown helped touch off the current economic crisis. In only a few years time, Fannie also "invested" over $105,000 in then-Senator Barack Obama.

True:
http://www.opensecrets.org/news/2008/07/top-senate-recipients-of-fa...


$140,000:

The amount of back taxes and interest that Cabinet nominee Tom Daschle (D) was forced to cough up after the vetting process revealed significant, unexplained tax liabilities.

True:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123335984751235247.html?mod=googlen... Wall Street Journal


$356,000:

The approximate amount of income and deductions that Daschle (D) was forced to report on his amended 2005 and 2007 tax returns after being caught cheating on his taxes. This includes $255,256 for the use of a car service, $83,333 in unreported income, and $14,963 in charitable contributions.

True:
http://online..wsj.com/article/SB123335984751235247.html?mod=google... Wall Street Journal


$800,000:

The amount of "sweetheart" mortgages Senate Banking Chairman Chris Dodd (D-CT) received from Countrywide Financial , the details for which he has refused to release details despite months of promises to do so.. Countrywide was once the nation's largest mortgage lender and linked to Government-Sponsored Entities like Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. Their meltdown precipitated the current financial crisis. Just days ago in Pennsylvania , Countrywide was forced to pay $150,000,000 in mortgage assistance following "a state investigation that concluded that Countrywide relaxed its underwriting standards to sell risky loans to consumers who did not understand them and could not afford them."

True:
http://rightvoices.com/2008/08/21/more-sweetheart-loan-details-on-s...


$1,000,000:

The estimated amount of donations by Denise Rich, wife of fugitive Marc Rich, to Democrat interests and the William J. Clinton Foundation in an apparent quid pro quo deal that resulted in a pardon for Mr. Rich. The pardon was reviewed and blessed by Obama Attorney General and then Deputy AG Eric Holder, despite numerous requests by government officials to turn it down.

True:
http://articles.latimes.com/2008/nov/20/nation/na-holder20


$12,000,000:

The amount of TARP money provided to community bank OneUnited despite the fact that it did not qualify for funds, and was "under attack from its regulators for allegations of poor lending practices and executive-pay abuses." It turns out that Rep. Maxine Waters (D-CA), a key contributor to the Fannie Mae meltdown, just happens to be married to one of the bank's former directors.

True:
http://online.wsj.com/article/SB123258284337504295.html Wall Street Journal


$23,500,000:

The upper range of net worth Rep. Allan Mollohan (D-WV) accumulated in four years time according to The Washington Post through earmarks of "tens of millions of dollars to groups associated with his own business partners."

True:
http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/14/AR2...Washington Post



$2,000,000,000:

($2 billion) the approximate amount of money that House Appropriations Chairman David Obey (D-WI) is earmarkingrelated to his son's lobbying efforts. The son, Craig Obey, is "a top lobbyist for the nonprofit group" that would receive a roughly $2 billion component of the "Stimulus" package.

True: http://www.newwest.net/topic/article/a_plan_for_stimulus_money_nati...

and this as a list of these related stories: http://search.yahoo.com/404handler?src=news&+++%0A+fr%3D404_new...


$3,700,000,000:

(
$3.7 billion) not to be outdone, this is the estimated value of various defense contracts awarded to a company controlled by the husband of Rep. Diane Feinstein (D-CA). Despite an obvious conflict-of-interest as "a member of the Military Construction Appropriations subcommittee, Sen. Feinstein voted for appropriations worth billions to her husband's firms."

True: http://www.sfgate.com/cgi-bin/article.cgi?file=/chronicle/archive/2...


$4,190,000,000:

($4.19 billion) the amount of money in the so-called "Stimulus" package devoted to fraudulent voter registration ACORN group under the auspices of "Community Stabilization Activities". ACORN is currently the subject of a RICO suit in Ohio .

True:
http://www.ocregister.com/articles/stimulus-economy-percent-2295331...



$1,646,000,000,000 ($1.646 trillion):

The approximate amount of annual United States exports endangered by the "Stimulus" package, which provides a "Buy American" stricture. According to international trade experts, a "US-EU trade war looms" which could result in a worldwide economic depression reminiscent of that touched off by the protectionist Smoot-Hawley Act.

True: http://www.asiaing.com/2008-national-export-strategy-the-new-global...

and http://www.powerlineblog.com/archives/2009/01/022685.php

Background: Smmot-Hawley Act:
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Smoot-Hawley_Tariff_Act


It's becoming a culture of corruption and stupidity. In addition, these folks appear to be above the law.

All of the aforementioned are still in office, living like the royalty they think they are.

Remember: This all happened in just theFIRST QUARTER of 2009, folks!

Our Long National Obamacare Nightmare is Just Beginning.........

If you are tired of our nation's year-long health care debate and you were hoping that the passage of President Barack Obama's health care bill would settle anything, then here is some bad news for you: the real fight is just getting started. Starting today, a coalition of leftist groups will sink millions of dollars into television advertising and astroturf events selling the plan to the American people. But as a Washington Post poll conducted after passage last week shows, the Obama administration and their leftist allies face a steep climb.

The top line numbers are bad but not daunting for the pro-Obamacare forces: 50% of Americans oppose the changes in the new law while 46% support them. But the numbers also show that most Americans believe the new law will cause "the overall health care system in this country" to get worse, "the quality of the health care you receive" to get worse, and "your health insurance coverage" to get worse. The poll also shows that most Americans believe the law will weaken Medicare and that there is "too much government involvement in the nation's health care system." And strong majorities of Americans believe Obamacare will increase the federal budget deficit (65%), increase "your health care costs" (55%), and increase "overall costs of health care in this country" (60%). The American people are right on all counts. And if the events of last week are any indication, these beliefs will only harden over time.

Pitching his failed stimulus plan back in February of last year, President Obama told a factory in East Peoria, Illinois, "So what's happening at this company tells us a larger story about what's happening with our nation's economy, because, in many ways, you can measure America's bottom line by looking at Caterpillar's bottom line." well, Caterpillar was quick to inform the markets exactly what Obamacare meant for its bottom line. Caterpillar announced that Obamacare would raise its insurance costs by at least 20 percent - or more than $100 million - just in the first year of the health-care overhaul program. And Caterpillar was not alone. Other Fortune 500 firms quickly followed suit announcing Obamacare hits to their bottom line including: Deere & Co., $150 million; AK Steel, $31 million; 3M, $90 million; Valero Energy, $20 million; and AT&T, $1 billion. The consulting firm Towers Watson tells the Wall Street Journal that the total hit this year will reach nearly $14 billion. America 's employers simply can't sustain losses like these, so many of these companies, including Verizon, have informed their employees to expect significant changes to their current health care benefits.

The leftist majorities in Congress were incensed that America's employers would dare warn their investors about the costs of Obamacare at the same time as the Obama administration's national sales pitch was set to begin. So using the full force of the federal government to bully and harass America's job creators, House Energy and Commerce Committee Chairman Henry Waxman (D-CA) sent letters to the CEOs of Deere, Caterpillar, Verizon, and AT&T demanding all documents "from January 1, 2009, through the present" regarding "any analyses related to the projected impact of health care reform" and "any documents, including e-mail messages, sent to or prepared or reviewed by senior company officials related to the projected impact of health care reform." Waxman intends to haul these CEOs in front of the Subcommitte on Oversight and Investigations, which just happens to be chaired by Rep. Bart Stupak (D-MI), for a hearing April 21st.

While it is unfortunate that the left in Congress believes our nation's business leaders' time is best spent being browbeaten by congressmen for not doing more to support their policy preferences, the American public should look forward to these hearings. The more information the American public is given about Obamacare, the more they will oppose it. The more they oppose it, the easier it will be to repeal it. We have a long road ahead of us, but eventually the Obamacare nightmare will end.

Saturday, March 6, 2010

WA SUPREME COURT JUSTICE RICHARD SANDERS AUTHORS SIGNIFICANT GUN RIGHTS RULING

By Alan M. Gottlieb

Executive Vice President

Second Amendment Foundation

The Washington State Supreme Court has issued a precedent-setting opinion in the case of State v. Christopher William Sieyes which holds that the Second Amendment of the U.S. Constitution's Bill of Rights "applies to the states via the Fourteenth Amendment"

This outstanding opinion was authored by Justice Richard B. Sanders, a Supreme Court veteran who clearly understands the history of both the state and federal constitutional right to keep and bear arms. Perhaps what makes the Sanders opinion so remarkable is that it places the Washington Supreme Court ahead of the United States Supreme Court in recognition that the U.S. Constitution's recognition of the right to keep and bear arms applies to all citizens, and should also place limits on state and local governments, as it does on Congress.

Quoting Justice Sanders, "Lower courts need not wait for the Supreme Court the Constitution is the rule of all courts both state and federal judiciaries wield power to strike down unconstitutional government acts."

The Sanders opinion was issued February 18, 2010 and its significance quickly registered with gun rights organizations and activists across the map. For example, the National Shooting Sports Foundation hailed the ruling. NSSF Senior Vice President and General Counsel Lawrence G. Keane called it "a welcome development and victory for the rights of law-abiding firearms owners."

This state high court opinion, among other things, effectively "puts on notice" anti-gun groups in the Evergreen State that their continued efforts to impair the rights of legally-armed citizens will face not only growing legislative resistance, but intense legal scrutiny. Though not binding on other states, it clears a path for other state supreme courts to follow.

Despite its brevity at only 24 pages, Justice Sanders' opinion - which was co-signed by five of his colleagues, including Chief Justice Barbara A. Madsen - thoroughly and proactively debunks any suggestion that the authors of Article 1, Section 24 of the Washington State Constitution did not mean specifically what they wrote: "The right of the individual citizen to bear arms in defense of himself, or the state, shall not be impaired, but nothing in this section shall be construed as authorizing individuals or corporations to organize, maintain or employ an armed body of men."

Perhaps Justice Sanders put it best when he noted, "This right is necessary to an Anglo-American regime of ordered liberty and fundamental to the American scheme of justice."

Friday, March 5, 2010

World Events

U.S.: PETRAEUS EXPANDS MCCHRYSTAL'S COMMAND IN AFGHANISTAN...The United States' top commander in Afghanistan, Gen. StanleyMcChrystal, has been given expanded authority, U.S. Central Command chief Gen. David Petraeus said March 4, Reuters reported. Petraeus saidhe has ordered that "all U.S. forces, less a handful, be placed underGen. McChrystal's" operational control.........BRIEF: U.S. CONGRESS COMMITTEE DECLARES ARMENIAN KILLINGS GENOCIDE Applying STRATFOR analysis to breaking news...A U.S. Congressional panel voted Mar 4 in favor of a resolution to declare the killing of up to 1.5 million Armenians by Ottoman Turks in 1915 a genocide. The vote by the House Foreign Affairs Committee is nota binding measure, and the bill will be sent to the full House ofRepresentatives for consideration. This resolution is a highlypoliticized issue, with Turkish Foreign Minister Ahmet Davutoglu statingthat a vote in favor of recognizing genocide would harm ties betweenTurkey and the United States and that Turkey would most likely recallits diplomats to United States should it pass. Indeed, these resolutionvotes occur annually in such congressional panels but the resolution hasyet to pass through the House of Representatives. Turkey is oftremendous geopolitical importance to the United States, havingsignificant leverage over key issues such as the war in Iraq and aresurgent Russia. The vote could also have significant impact onnegotiations to normalize ties between Turkey and Armenia, in whichprotocols have been drawn up but have yet to be passed by eithercountry's parliaments. While there are complications to these protocolssuch as Azerbaijan's issue over Nagorno Karabakh, if the genocide votepasses these protocols will be even less likely to be passed by Turkey.....PAKISTAN: PM TO ADDRESS NATION..Pakistani Prime Minister Yousaf Raza Gilani is scheduled on the eveningof March 5 to address his nation about the proposed constitutionalamendments the government plans to introduce in the parliament, DunyaNews reported March 4. Gilani is expected to explain the progress of theparliament's Constitutional Reforms Committee. Also, Gilani reportedlywill address the nation by radio on the first Friday of every month totalk about government policies......TURKEY: U.S. FOREIGN AFFAIRS COMMITTEE'S MEASURE CONDEMNEDThe Turkish Prime Ministry's press office made an announcement March 4saying that Turkey regrets the U.S. Foreign Affairs Committee'sresolution to declare the killing of Armenians by Ottoman Turks in 1915a genocide. Also, Turkey recalled Turkish Ambassador to the UnitedStates Namik Tan to Ankara for talks. The Turkish statement in responseto the Foreign Affairs Committee's vote, said "such a decision wouldnegatively impact our work which we conduct on a large agenda with theUnited States, and points out lack of a strategic vision."IRAQ: 4 GUARDS OF NINEWA GOVERNOR ARRESTEDFour guards of Ninewa Governor Atheel al-Nejeifi were arrested March 4by an Iraqi army force east of Mosul, Aswat al-Iraq reported, citing apolice source. The army force took the guards to the Iraqi army's 2ndDivision headquarters in Mosul, the source said.U.S.: DEALING WITH AFGHAN CORRUPTION 'NUMBER ONE OBJECTIVE' - MCCHRYSTALU.S. top commander in Afghanistan Gen. Stanley McChrystal said March 4that putting corruption in Afghanistan "front and center" might be his"number one objective," Reuters reported. McChrystal said, "We can fightthe insurgency, we can defeat the forces of the insurgency, the groundforces and whatnot. But if we don't have effective governance, crediblegovernance, then you don't defeat the cause of the insurgency."SINGAPORE: A THREAT AGAINST MALACCA SHIPPINGThe Singapore Shipping Association on Feb. 4 publicized a warning of thepotential for attacks against oil tankers in the Strait of Malacca itreceived from the Singapore Navy Information Fusion Center. An advisorylater disseminated by the Singapore Navy requested that oil tankerstransiting the Strait of Malacca increase security measures, inparticular watching out for small, suspicious craft like dinghies andspeedboats and increase communications to other vessels transiting thestrait to maintain situational awareness. The International MaritimeBureau's Piracy Reporting Center in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia, received asimilar alert March 1 from a "foreign intelligence agency."Southeast Asian militant groups like Abu Sayyaf periodically havepreviously threatened to target maritime vessels.The heavy maritime traffic and shallow waters of the Strait of Malaccamakes for congestion that puts larger ships at a higher risk of beingattacked by smaller boats than in the open sea. The combination of anestablished militant presence, this vulnerability and the strategicimportance of the Strait of Malacca to global energy supply make anattack in the strait a top concern for governments in the region andaround the world. Given this, intelligence regarding threats is nothandled lightly. In fact, the Singapore Navy Information Fusion Centerwas established in April 2009 specifically to collect and distributeintelligence on the threat against maritime traffic in and around theStrait of Malacca.Few specific details about the origin of the threat have been released,but upon closer investigation, STRATFOR learned of a series of Webpostings on the al Qaeda forum Al-Falluja in late December 2009 thatincluded calls from members linked to al Qaeda to target ships in thePersian Gulf, pictures of U.S. naval ships, and diagrams of the USSEnterprise aircraft carrier.Such photos and diagrams are not necessarily enough to allow asuccessful attack against a well-protected warship, but combined withthe right materials, it could be effective against a less-protectedvessel such as an oil tanker. Later in January, al Qaeda in the ArabianPeninsula deputy commander Said al-Shihri outlined a plan to take overthe strait of Bab el-Mandab between Yemen and Eritrea. While not a veryplausible strategy, the statement does reflect an al Qaeda interest intargeting strategic waterways. These threats could very well beunrelated and independent of each other, but they possibility they arelinked warrants further investigation.SLOVENIA, SERBIA, CROATIA: LEADERS TO MEETSlovenian Prime Minister Borut Pahor, Serbian President Boris Tadic andCroatian Prime Minister Jadranka Kosor are scheduled to meet March 5 inPtuj, Slovenia, for informal talks in preparation of the March 20conference on the Western Balkans organized by Slovenia and Croatia, B92reported March 4.U.S.: AID TO HONDURAS TO BE RESTORED - CLINTONU.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton said March 4 that she has sent aletter to the U.S. Congress "notifying them that we will be restoringaid to Honduras," AFP reported. Following the June 2009 ouster ofHonduran President Manuel Zelaya, U.S. President Barack Obama'sadministration suspended more than $30 million in aid to Honduras.IRAN: NEW U.N. SANCTIONS SHOULD BE IMPOSED - BRITISH ENVOYSpeaking to the U.N. Security Council on March 4, British U.N. envoyMark Lyall Grant said new sanctions against Iran should be "be smart andeffective" and should "target areas with an impact on the regime'spolicy calculations," adding the sanctions should show that "theinternational community is united behind a diplomatic resolution toIran's nuclear issue, and stave off any pre-emptive moves by others toresolve this issue by other means," AFP reported. The United States'ambassador to the United Nations, Susan Rice, encouraged the council toconsider more measures to "hold the government of Iran accountable."EU: A MESSAGE TO THE EUROZONEFollowing a decision by the European Central Bank's (ECB) governingcouncil to maintain interest rates at a historic low of 1 percent, ECBPresident Jean-Claude Trichet provided more details March 4 on thebank's apparent unwinding of liquidity support for the eurozone. To whatextent the ECB intends to continue on this path is unclear; what iscertain is that the bank wants to send a clear message to the monetary bloc.Trichet announced at a press conference that the final six-monthoperation to provide unlimited liquidity, scheduled for March 31, wouldnot use a fixed rate of 1 percent but would instead be "indexed" --meaning that the rate would rise based on what the ECB does withinterest rates. Trichet also announced that for the next three-monthliquidity operation on April 28, banks would have to competitively bidfor a set amount of liquidity instead of receiving an unlimited amount(for eligible collateral) at a fixed rate of 1 percent.However, the ECB will continue to provide unlimited liquidity in its one-month and one-week operations until at least Oct. 12. Additionally, theECB intends to loan some of the covered bonds it has purchased duringthe economic crisis back to eurozone banks, providing them withadditional collateral with which to draw liquidity from the ECB. Thismeans that demand for government bonds will continue to be propped up byliquidity provisions, which will continue to help troubled eurozonecountries such as Greece.If anything, the March 4 announcement shows the ECB is continuing tounwind its liquidity support but that the eventual exit will be highlynuanced and contingent on developments within the eurozone, particularlythose related to sovereign-debt issues in Southern Europe. While it isunlikely the bank would knowingly change its liquidity policy in such away as to endanger the eurozone financial system, it is clear that theECB is urging eurozone banks to begin thinking about alternative sourcesof funding, which means eurozone governments should do so as well.PAKISTAN: TALKS WITH INDIA AT FOREIGN SECRETARY LEVEL NOT ENOUGHWhile India has thus far expressed interest in engaging Pakistan only atthe foreign secretary level and in discussing other issues at theworking level, Pakistan has wanted to the process to go beyond this,Pakistan's Foreign Office spokesman, Abdul Basit, said March 4, Geo TVreported. Basit said it was pointless to have talks for the sake ofhaving talks, and he said further discussions at the foreign secretarylevel alone would serve no purpose.U.S.: SHOTS FIRED AT PENTAGON, TWO POLICE INJUREDAt least three individuals, including two Pentagon Force ProtectionAgency officers, were shot at about 6:30 p.m. EST when shots were firedat the Pentagon Metro Station, which is just outside the Pentagon's mainentrance, The Washington Post reported March 4. At least two of thevictims were alert and conscious while being transported to a nearbyhospital. One person is in custody, and the Pentagon metro station hasbeen closed.U.S.: PENTAGON RELEASES STATEMENT ABOUT SHOOTINGA statement released by the Pentagon regarding the metro entranceshooting said that an unknown suspect fired at two Pentagon ForceProtection Agency (PFPA) officers who returned fire on the suspect. Theofficers' injuries do not appear to be life threatening, but thecondition of the suspect -- who is in custody -- is unknown. AllPentagon entrances were briefly secured, but have since been reopenedsave for the metro entrance. The incident is under investigation, andmore details will be released when available.Copyright 2010 Stratfor.

Thursday, March 4, 2010

More World News---04 March 2010

KAZAKHSTAN, ISRAEL: PRESIDENTS DISCUSS BILATERAL RELATIONS
Kazakh President Nursultan Nazarbayev and Israeli President Shimon Peres
held a telephone conversation on March 4 regarding the status and
prospects of developing bilateral relations, Kazinform reported citing
President Nazarbayev's press office. The two leaders recognized the
significance of agreements, including the creation of a joint high tech
fund, that were reached during Peres' prior visit to Kazakhstan.


GEORGIA: A NEW MILITARY STRATEGY
Summary
The Georgian government is undertaking a comprehensive review of the
country's military, taking into account lessons learned in -- and
circumstances created by -- the Russo-Georgian war of 2008. Georgia's
strategy will focus on improving its own military abilities while moving
toward membership in NATO.

Analysis
Georgia is conducting a comprehensive review of its military. The Russo-
Georgian war in August 2008 left Georgia literally broken, with the
secessionist regions of Abkhazia and South Ossetia declaring formal
independence afterwards. These regions also became home to thousands of
Russian troops (reports vary from 1,000 to 5,000 troops in each region),
and Moscow will be solidifying its presence in each territory by
building permanent military bases there.

The war showed the Georgians that their equipment -- most of which was
from the Soviet era -- simply did not work against the more powerful
Russian military. Furthermore, the pro-Western Georgia, which is a NATO
partner but not an official member, did not get the support from NATO
members that it sorely wanted and needed during the war.

Although the military review is ongoing, the Georgians have already
defined the two areas of focus for their strategy: independent
territorial defense, and political deterrence achieved by moving ever
closer to NATO membership.

For territorial defense, Georgia has determined that, as a matter of
national security and survival, it needs its own defense and deterrence
capability, regardless of its relationship with NATO. For this, it needs
to upgrade its military assets and weaponry, particularly anti-armor and
air defense equipment. The problem with this is that the top three
sellers of military equipment to Georgia -- Kazakhstan, Ukraine and
Israel -- are all cutting their defense ties to Georgia due to pressure
from Moscow. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu -- very aware of
Russia's leverage over Iran -- has stated publicly that his country will
stop sending military supplies to Georgia. This was finalized during his
last trip to Moscow in February. While Kazakhstan and Ukraine have not
made such public declarations, STRATFOR sources in Georgia say that
Tbilisi expects these supplies to be cut. This is primarily due to the
recent change to a pro-Russian administration in Ukraine, and Russia's
increased economic pressure and influence in Kazakhstan.

Georgia is therefore looking for alternative weapons suppliers to
rebuild and strengthen its military. Theoretically, the United States
would fill that role. Washington has said that it would never place an
embargo on Tbilisi like other countries have. But Tbilisi is unsure of
the extent to which Washington is willing to provide it with equipment
and training when it really needs it. Georgia is concerned that when
push comes to shove (for example, in another war with Russia), the
United States will not truly support the Georgian military.

The Georgians have also been looking to other NATO members for
assistance. Indeed, Georgia has just begun consultations on this issue
with Poland. Poland and Georgia have created a loose and vague security
pact, but Tbilisi is not sure what exactly will come of it. To Georgia,
Poland is a promising partner because both countries are mistrustful of
Russia's intentions, and Poland has received considerable U.S. military
support as part of Washington's ballistic missile defense plans,
including Patriot missiles and military training and exercises. This is
particularly significant because Poland has made greater strides in
advancing from the post-Soviet period when the Polish military suffered
from many of the same weaknesses the Georgians are still trying to
overcome. The reform of the Polish military and Warsaw's rapid ascension
to NATO membership is exactly what the Georgians aspire to -- and
Tbilisi hopes to learn from Poland's successes and challenges in that
evolution.

As far as other NATO heavyweights, Georgia simply does not trust Germany
or Turkey, as it considers both too close to Moscow. France would have
been a good partner for Georgia, as it is less integrated with Russia in
the energy sphere, and even mediated between Russia and Georgia
following the 2008 war. But the ongoing negotiations between France and
Russia over the sale of Mistral warships to Moscow has left Tbilisi
feeling as if it has been betrayed, and that Paris is just as
untrustworthy as Berlin.

But despite these hurdles, Georgia is following Poland's model. Even
without a formal membership action plan (MAP) extended by NATO, it is
doing everything it can to act as though it does have a MAP and is
working independently to meet NATO standards, cooperating with willing
NATO members bilaterally where possible.

As Georgia completes its comprehensive military review, it will start
shopping around for the weapons and equipment it needs to build up its
territorial defense, and will attempt to clarify the specifics of the
relationships and deals it has with NATO members in hopes of finding
suitors. While it is far from guaranteed that Georgia will secure what
it needs, it will nevertheless do what it can, as it is a matter of
survival for the Georgians in the face of a resurgent and aggressive Russia.


SOMALIA: U.S. CONSIDERS HELPING TRAIN SOMALI MILITARY
Maj. Gen. Richard J. Sherlock, head of plans for the U.S. Africa
Command, said the United States may join a European Union program to
train Somali armed forces, the Washington Post reported March 4.
Sherlock and Ambassador Anthony Holmes of Africa Command's civil-
military affairs office met with EU officials March 4 to discuss ways to
contribute to training Somali forces. The EU plan, which will begin in
May, will involve about 200 military instructors training up to 2,000
Somali troops in Uganda.


TAIWAN: NAVAL VESSEL COLLIDES WITH CHINESE FREIGHTER
A Taiwanese naval vessel collided with a Chinese freighter off the coast
of the island of Kinmen on March 4, Taiwan's Central News Agency
reported. The Chung Pang, a supply ship in the Taiwanese Navy's 151st
Fleet, was traveling from Taiwan to Kinmen in thick fog when it was
involved in a glancing collision with China's Shunlong No. 6, which was
traveling from Zhejiang province to Guangzhou, Guangdong province.
Taiwan's coast guard is investigating the cause of the collision.


GREECE: ECB CHIEF SAYS IMF HELP NOT APPROPRIATE
European Central Bank President Jean-Claude Trichet said March 4 he did
not think it would be appropriate for the International Monetary Fund
(IMF) to step in to help Greece through its financial crisis, DPA
reported. Trichet said, "I do not trust that it would be appropriate to
have the introduction of the IMF as a supplier of help through standby
or through any kind of such help."


COLOMBIA: 2 ARRESTED IN ALLEGED ASSASSINATION PLOT ON SUPREME COURT JUSTICES
Colombian Attorney General Guillermo Mendoza Diago met March 4 with
members of the Colombian supreme court to discuss a possible attempt on
the lives of three court justices, El Espectador reported. The alleged
plot was discovered by intelligence agents from the attorney general's
office and two suspected hitmen were captured in Bogota, Caracol Radio
reported.


BRIEF: GREEK BOND SALES BEGIN
Applying STRATFOR analysis to breaking news
The sale of Greek 10-year bonds valued at a total of 5 billion euros
($6.8 billion) began March 4, with Barclays Capital, HSBC, National Bank
of Greece, Nomura and Piraeus Bank handling the sale, according to the
Greek debt agency. The 10-year bonds are offered at a yield of 6.39
percent, which is 0.29 percent higher than the current bond yield. The
agency also announced on March 4 that Greece would issue 8 billion euros
($10.9 billion) in 5-year notes at a yield of 6.1 percent, a sale led by
Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and the
National Bank of Greece. It should be noted that the yield offered on
the 5-year notes is lower than the 6.2 percent yield offered in the
January sale of 8 billion euros ($10.9 billion) worth of 5-year notes.
The sales come after Greece announced another round of austerity
measures March 3 worth 4.8 billion euros ($6.5 billion), a move that was
largely seen as aimed at improving the investor outlook on Greece. It
also comes on the heels of a meeting between the prime minister and
finance minister of Greece with the CEO of Deutsche Bank on Feb. 26,
largely seen as a move to pave the way for Deutsche Bank participation
in Greek bond auctions. The precise bond sale date had not been made
known, although the auction has been awaited for two weeks, and the
rather sudden announcement today seems to indicate that Athens is
looking to complete a prearranged sale to banks with which it has had
negotiations. STRATFOR will continue to monitor the progress of the
auction, but if Athens is selling the bonds to banks that have already
signed off on the offered yield, then we suspect that the sale will go
through. The 13 billion euros ($17.7 billion) worth of bonds will cover
more than half of the 23 billion euros ($31.4 billion) worth of debt
Greece must sell by the end of May due to maturing debt.


COTE D'IVORIE: OPPOSITION NAMES 11 TO UNITY GOVERNMENT
Cote d'Ivoire's opposition named 11 members to the country's unity
government March 4, AP reported. The 28-member Cabinet is made up of 16
ministers from President Laurent Gbagbo's FPI party and former New
Forces rebels; 11 ministers representing opposition parties; and Prime
Minister Guillaume Soro.


ISRAEL: SOME SAY FM IS ON WAY OUT OF POST
Israeli Foreign Minister Avigdor Lieberman may be on his way out of his
position, said an unnamed government minister, and many are not
bothering to call for him to resign, Ynet News reported March 4. Israeli
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said on the evening of March 3 that
Lieberman's Yisrael Beiteinu party would have to decide about a
replacement of Lieberman, said a prime minister associate.


GREECE: UNION LOOKING AT RESCHEDULING STRIKE
Greece's primary union for public workers, ADEDY, said it is looking at
rescheduling a 24-hour, March 16 strike, to the week of March 8,
Bloomberg reported March 4. The General Confederation of Workers of
Greece's executive met on March 4 to discuss strikes and protests.


PAKISTAN: ARREST MAY BE TIED TO TALIBAN FEUD - MCCHRYSTAL
It is possible the arrest in Pakistan of Mullah Abdul Ghani Baradar was
a result of a feud within the Taliban and purges, said U.S. and NATO in
Afghanistan commander Gen. Stanley McChrystal, Reuters reported on March 4.


BAHRAIN: SHIITE OPPOSITION CALLS FOR PARLIAMENT TO CHOOSE CABINET
Bahrain's largest Shiite parliamentary bloc is calling for the Cabinet
to be chosen by parliament, rather than the king, creating friction with
Sunni politicians, Khaleej Times reported March 4, citing Reuters
Arabic. The al Wefaq bloc has 17 of 40 seats. The country's national
charter, passed in 2002, makes it clear that Bahrain is to move to a
constitutional monarchy, a senior al Wefaq source said, although there
is no intention to challenge the royal family.


BRIEF: GREEK BOND SALE COMPLETED
Applying STRATFOR analysis to breaking news
Greece's 5 billion euro ($6.8 billion) 10-year bond sale was
successfully completed on March 4. Total investor demand for the bonds
exceeded 16 billion euros, according to Petros Christodoulou, head of
the Greek debt agency, Bloomberg reported. Greece offered a yield of
6.35 percent on the rates, which was higher than the yield of 6.09
percent on bonds of similar maturity. The return of investor interest
will be a welcome reprieve for Athens, which is dealing with a restive
populace planning strikes for the next two weeks and with a need to
raise another 18 billion euros ($24.6 billion) before the end of May in
order to repay maturing debt. The successful bond auction also comes as
Greek Prime Minister George Papandreou departs for Berlin on March 5,
where he will hold talks with German Chancellor Angela Merkel.
Papandreou is still seeking support from the eurozone, but a successful
bond auction will only support Germany's argument that Athens can secure
international funding simply by committing to its austerity measures,
without the help of the eurozone.


CHINA: REFORMING THE STATE-OWNED SECTOR
Summary
China may be developing another organization to assist in reforming its
state-owned enterprises (SOEs), according to media reports. China has
long sought to improve the performance of its SOEs, and already has two
such organizations tasked with conducting reforms. The emergence of this
new group, called the Guoxin Asset Management Corp., underscores the
importance Beijing places on salvaging its SOEs, legacies of the Maoist
era that still hold influence in the country.

Analysis
China's State Council has approved a plan by the State Assets
Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) to create a new asset
management company under its control, called Guoxin Asset Management
Corp., according to reports in Chinese media in recent days. The SASAC
was created in 2003 to play the role of investor on behalf of the
government in state-owned enterprises (SOEs) and to manage their reform.
The SASAC was charged with restructuring and consolidating the massive
state-owned sector, responding to demands of both the central government
and the Communist Party on how to govern this sector.

China's economic transformation in recent decades has required it to go
to great pains over SOEs. In the Maoist era, China's industries were
taken over and operated by the state, but this gradually changed as
China sought market-oriented reforms beginning in the 1980s. In the
mid-1990s, after a massive bout of inflation that was fueled in great
part by wasteful SOE spending, the Chinese government under Premier Zhu
Rongji moved to cut down the SOE sector. This resulted in more than 40
million lost jobs, but it helped correct one of China's deepest
structural flaws and paved the way for a surge in private enterprise,
mostly export-oriented manufacturers on the coasts that became the
biggest source of employment in China.

Nevertheless, SOE reform was never finished and China retained a
sprawling state sector that was increasingly uncompetitive and dependent
on subsidies and government-provided credit to survive. Since the
sweeping reforms of the 1990s, SOE reform has moved only incrementally.
Currently, the SASAC has two state asset management companies, the State
Development and Investment Corp. and China Chengtong Group, both of
which were created in 2005 to help consolidate the SOEs. In this reform
process, the goal is ostensibly to separate the profitable units from
the unprofitable ones, with the profitable units spun off and the
unprofitable units subject to mergers and management changes to focus on
the areas in which they are competent.

The advantage of this strategy is that it attempts to salvage productive
sectors from a larger morass of inefficiency, state dependency and
corruption. The disadvantage is that the consolidation process results
in behemoth SOEs that are not well integrated or able to function as a
whole, but that have a greater concentration of political power --
mainly due to their $3.3 trillion worth of sales in 2009, and their role
as major employers -- and are able to preserve aspects of the state
sector from private competition, demand continued public funds for
support, and serve as vehicles for government officials' pet projects,
in turn squeezing private sector development.

A recent emphasis for the SASAC has been ensuring that capital is
allocated efficiently amid the massive increase in bank lending in 2009
and 2010 launched by the central government to stimulate the economy
during the global slowdown. Not only are a number of state-owned assets
mismanaged -- for instance, being directed by government officials
rather than businessmen -- but many, especially on the local level, do
not even have clear managers. The huge infusion of credit nationwide has
likely led to a range of ill-conceived investments (including illegal
speculation in equity and property markets by subsidiaries of SOEs) and
the SASAC is responsible both for supervising these investments and
containing any problems, as well as reporting and demoting corrupt
officials and employees.

It is not clear yet how Guoxin will operate -- some reports claim it
will act like the sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corp., but
rather than investing China's foreign exchange reserves, it will handle
domestic investments of assets in the industrial sector. Other accounts
say Guoxin will simply join the other two asset management corporations
overseen by SASAC in consolidating the SOE sector. The number of
centrally controlled SOEs stands at 128, down from 196 when the SASAC
reduction targets were set in 2003. Guoxin is to be responsible for
further consolidation, taking over at least 12 smaller SOEs and helping
the SASAC reach its goal of reducing the number of SOEs to 100 by the
end of 2010, and eventually down to 80.

STRATFOR will continue to watch the developments related to the SASAC's
new creation and overall SOE reform.


CHINA SECURITY MEMO: MARCH 4, 2010
A 'Fake' Alcohol Problem
Chinese media reported Feb. 25 that Jingzhou's Public Security Bureau
cracked down on an illicit alcohol production and sales operation worth
about 17 million yuan ($2.5 million), the biggest ever uncovered in
Hubei province. Earlier, in September 2009, police identified a store in
Jingzhou that was selling alcohol bottled and labeled with popular
Chinese brands such as Wuliangye, Maotai, Shuijingfang and Jiannanchun.
The subsequent investigation revealed that the alcohol had come from
Beijing, Xiangfan and Jingzhou, and originally had been produced in
underground distilleries in Hanyang district and Wuhan. Several suspects
also were arrested in Beijing.

This "fake" alcohol in China is typically low-quality liquor made in
cheap distilleries in western China, although some counterfeiters make
their own bootleg variety or use industrial alcohol (which is not meant
for consumption). The alcohol is put into genuine bottles that the
counterfeiters usually buy from nightclubs. STRATFOR sources say there
is a healthy black market in China for empty alcohol bottles with
genuine labels, which is what really drives this counterfeit industry.
Most producers use real bottles and sometimes reproduced labels, and
sell their counterfeit spirits at a fraction of the price. Retailers and
fencing operations in on the take may also have ties to bigger organized
crime networks.

Many karaoke music-video (KTV) bars and other nightclubs in China will
sell genuinely bottled brands (at KTVs, alcohol is usually purchased by
the bottle instead of by the drink) when customers first arrive and are
more sober. After the customers have consumed a bottle or two, the
counterfeit liquor is served, representing foreign as well as domestic
brands. These bars also are known for what one STRATFOR source calls
"stretching" (a tactic also used in the melamine scandal). The bar owner
will buy a case of genuinely branded liquor (12 bottles), remove 20
percent of the liquor from each bottle and refill the bottles with
denatured alcohol. This yields enough of the branded spirits to create
more than two full bottles of genuine product that can be sold at a
premium. Our sources say as much as 35 percent of the alcohol sold in
some areas of the country is adulterated or counterfeited. And it is a
lucrative industry. As much as $75 per bottle in pure profit can be made
when it is sold as the real thing.

Most of the counterfeit liquor is no more harmful than the brand it is
copying, but in some cases it has blinded or even killed unwitting
consumers. To protect their reputations, the brand-name liquor companies
are quick to investigate distilleries and bars when they find out about
counterfeit operations, often before the police get involved. And the
police are quick to respond in cases where people are poisoned. In most
cases, however, counterfeit alcohol is hard to detect, making it an
enticing and profitable venture for many.

Wage Protests

More than 2,000 assembly-line workers at Taiwanese-owned Lacquer Craft
Manufacturing in Dongguan, Guangdong province, staged a three-day strike
over wages, according to a March 2 media report. The Taiwanese employer
reportedly would not raise the workers' pay after nearby factories
supposedly had increased wages by almost 20 percent. Dongguan's Human
Resources Bureau issued a statement saying that only the provincial
government could decide to raise minimum wages, and they had yet to
announce a new wage level. According to a Lacquer Craft spokeswoman, all
of the workers have since returned.

Dongguan, a city built by China's export market, has been hit
particularly hard by the global economic crisis, and its problems are
now being exacerbated by a growing labor shortage as migrants take
advantage of lower costs and stimulus policies back home, making the
coastal export industries less enticing. Even before the economic
crisis, exporters were working on very slim profit margins -- often
estimated at 3 to 5 percent -- and raising wages could put many who
survived the crisis over the brink. If minimum wages are raised in an
effort to stave off social instability, the government also would likely
have to provide some subsidies to these industries if they want them to
survive.

The current labor shortage gives workers more bargaining power vis-a-vis
their employers, and we can expect further strikes as the central
government and provincial governments continue to discuss wage increases
(this issue is sure to be addressed at the National People's Congress
that begins March 5 in Beijing). Since some wealthy provinces can afford
such hikes while others cannot, the central government will be called to
make up the shortfall or risk having the blame shifted in Beijing's
direction.

Increased Security

In the run-up to the National People's Congress in Beijing, authorities
have tightened security in the metropolitan area, and this has included
preventing "petitioners" from traveling to the city to air their
grievances. According to a media report on March 2, the municipal
governments in Sanhe, Hebei province, and Yongzhou, Hunan province,
issued restrictions to prevent petitioners from traveling to Beijing.
Those who somehow evade local authorities and make the trip are often
monitored after they arrive in the city, either because of a tip by
local officials or by having their ID numbers show up in a police
database linked to hotel and hostel registrations.

An increased security presence has also been noted in Shanghai as
preparations continue for the six-month World Expo, which opens May 1.
Airports and roads, in particular, are being monitored closely. STRATFOR
sources say the Shanghai government is extremely concerned that domestic
terrorists will take advantage of the event to raise their profile.
Perhaps even more worrisome to authorities are localized protests,
especially regarding real estate issues, which could disrupt the smooth
operations of the expo and tarnish Shanghai's image internationally.

Feb. 25

Five people were found dead on a Malaysian ship near Zhuhai, Guangdong
province, on Feb. 21, Chinese media reported. Two were Malaysian crew
members, and the other three were Chinese citizens who had been on the
ship without local government approval. All five died from carbon
monoxide poisoning. The Chinese might have been onboard to smuggle oil
from the ship. The ship's owners claimed the Chinese were there to
collect garbage and metal scraps for recycling.
Baidu, the biggest Internet search engine in China, was fined 50,000
yuan (about $7,000) for intellectual property infringement by a court in
Beijing. Baidu said it would appeal.
A woman in Taizhou, Zhejiang province, was convicted of fraud and
sentenced to death after claiming she was related to a top city official
and obtaining some 470 million yuan (about $69 million) in loans from
people in the region between 2005 and 2008. She spent the money
gambling, paying interest on loans and buying luxury items.
Thirteen people died and five are missing after an explosion at the
Lihua Starch Co. factory in Qinhuangdao, Hebei province. Authorities are
investigating the cause of the blast, which injured another 50 people.
The Ministry of Public Security announced that it had solved 210 online
gambling cases and arrested 918 suspects in a two-week crackdown ending
Feb. 20.
Beijing police arrested 18 suspects connected to an attack on artists in
one of the city's art districts. Eight people were assaulted by thugs
who they believed had been hired by developers while the artists were
guarding the Zhengyang Creative Art Zone to keep it from being demolished.
A report issued by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences said that
crime in China has continued a sharp rise that began in 2007. In 2009,
public security cases increased by about 20 percent.

Feb. 26

A man died at a police station on Feb. 21 in Lushan, Henan province, and
police are suspected of torturing him, Chinese media reported. Early
reports indicated that the prisoner died from drinking hot water or
water out of an officer's bottle that contained "medicine." But the
man's family took photographs of his body that showed a hole in his
head, that his nipples had been cut off and that his genitals had been
damaged. Two days later four policemen were arrested, and the chief and
deputy chief were dismissed.
Fuzhou police announced they had solved an illegal emigration case and
detained 27 suspects in Fujian province. Some 80 individuals had been
charged a fee of about $80,000 each for help in illegally emigrating to
the United States and Europe over the past year.
Fujian provincial police announced they have stopped issuing passports
to residents of 19 villages near Fuzhou, an area considered a hotbed for
illegal emigration. Police also announced they have enhanced customs
controls and increased measures to detect human smuggling on boats.
Two men suspected of making at least 10 bomb threats to Shanghai
businesses were arrested. One man called supermarkets and threatened to
detonate bombs on the premises if he was not paid, recently asking for
25,000 yuan (about $3,600) from one grocery store. Another man was
arrested after calling Shanghai police from the northeastern city of
Yingkou, in Liaoning province, threatening to bomb Shanghai's Hongqiao
International Airport.
Jieyang police in Guangdong province shut down a counterfeit medicine
operation and arrested two suspects. Seized in the raid were 21 cartons
of fake repaglinide tablets, production equipment and packaging.
Repaglinide is a drug used for the treatment of type II diabetes.
Police in Qinghai province arrested two suspects and seized one gun
connected to an armed robbery, Chinese media reported. On Feb. 23, the
two men allegedly shot two people in a tobacco and alcohol store in
Ping'an and stole 1,000 yuan (about $147). Police arrested the suspects
the next day, and the suspects admitted to the crime.
Three people beat a police officer to death Jan. 31 after an argument in
a karaoke club in Harbin, Heilongjiang province, Chinese media reported.
Police announced they have arrested six suspects and one other suspect
is still at large.
An unidentified group of people demolished a two-story building that was
part of the Qingsong Primary School in Daye, Hubei province. The group
broke into the campus and used a bulldozer to destroy the building.
Three people were convicted of human trafficking and sentenced to four
to six years in prison by a court in Shanghai. A Chinese farmer from
Yunnan befriended two teenage Laotian girls while working in Laos and
coerced them into traveling to Wuhu, Anhui province, where he was
planning to sell them as wives. He then contacted two other people for
help in finding a buyer. They were planning to sell the girls for 30,000
yuan (about $4,400) each.
In a recent crackdown on aluminum exporters, authorities have accused
many Chinese companies of violating customs regulations and tax laws,
Chinese media reported. Shanghai customs officials are investigating
more than a dozen companies, and some have been forced to close down.
Manufacturers are claiming the inquiry is politically motivated and
results from a need for more tax revenue.
Five urban management officials went on trial for beating a street
vendor in Shanghai who ended up in a coma. The officials were in the
process of shutting down illegal street vendors when the fight occurred.

Feb. 27

Kunming police in Yunnan province arrested a Tanzanian man in the
airport who was suspected of drug smuggling, Chinese media reported. The
man later confessed that he had swallowed packets (according to the
media report) that contained 1,540 grams of heroin before flying from
Dar-es-Salaam to Kunming through Bangkok.

Feb. 28

Guangdong provincial border police in Shenzhen said they stopped two
smuggling attempts overnight. In one, they investigated a suspicious car
from which suspects had fled and found 85 boxes of cigarettes they
believed were being smuggled to Hong Kong. In the second case, they
seized a boat that was carrying 1,800 computer hard drives, 6,000 mobile
display screens and memory cards, all worth 1 million yuan (about $147,000).
An explosion during a New Year's celebration killed 20 people and
injured 50 in a village near Shenzhen, Guangdong province. The explosion
was caused by fireworks at a wealthy family's home and damaged a number
of nearby houses.

March 1

Border police in Xishuangbanna, Yunnan province, arrested a man carrying
nearly 5 kilograms of heroin at the Chinese-Myanmar border. A female
suspect involved in the smuggling was later arrested.

March 2

A bomb exploded on a minibus in Luxi, Yunnan province, leaving the
suspected bomber dead and 11 others injured. The suspect formerly worked
as an explosives technician before being convicted of drug trafficking
in 2000. He was believed to have had more than 100,000 yuan (about
$14,700) in gambling debts before he made the bomb from ammonium
nitrate. None of the injuries were life-threatening.
The trial of two sisters who are accused of making more than 100 million
yuan (about $14.7 million) by forcing hundreds of woman into
prostitution began in Chongqing. They are accused of operating nine
beauty salons, teahouses and hotels for the purpose of prostitution
since 1994. Many of the prostitutes were threatened or beaten, and the
sisters' 29-person gang paid off government officials to keep the
businesses open.
Dalian customs officials in Yunnan province arrested a nervous-looking
Chinese man after discovering that he was smuggling gall bladders from
endangered species of deer and trying to fly the organs to Seoul, South
Korea. Such animal products are commonly used in traditional Asian medicine.
Beijing police announced that they have seized 16,000 illegal knives
since 2007. Knife dealers are required to register with police and
record buyers' identities.
Chongqing ended its eight-month crackdown on organized crime and
authorities announced the arrests of 3,348 suspects. Liu Guanglei,
China's top party official overseeing law enforcement, said that 63
gangs were broken up during the operation.
Three officials of Guangxi's Human Resources Department were suspended
and another 18 suspects were detained in a scandal involving a civil
service exam. More than 1,500 police officers have been investigating
the case in which the contents of the exam were leaked. More than 900
recent test-takers have been questioned in the matter.
An official from the Guangxi Tobacco Monopoly Bureau was relieved of
his post after his diaries were posted online. They contained notes
about sexual acts with some of his colleagues as well as records of
bribes he had received. The case is currently under investigation.
A man turned himself into police in Gaoyang, Hebei province, after six
of his family members were found dead. They had arrived in the town
looking for work and were renting a home there.

Copyright 2010 Stratfor.